How to Explain Your Market Without Inflating Numbers

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Market explanation is one of the areas where early-stage founders feel the most pressure.

This pressure often leads to inflated numbers that reduce credibility during evaluation.

Why inflated markets raise concerns

Evaluators are familiar with common market-sizing shortcuts.

Overly large or generic market claims often signal shallow analysis rather than ambition.

What evaluators care about instead

At the early stage, evaluators focus more on:

  • who the initial user is
  • why the problem matters to them
  • how they currently behave

Specificity reduces uncertainty more than scale.

How to frame your market realistically

A stronger approach is to:

  • start with a narrow, well-defined segment
  • explain how that segment expands over time
  • connect market understanding to learning strategy

Conclusion

Clear, grounded market explanations are more effective in early-stage evaluation than large but abstract numbers.

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